Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway — AI fight prediction, UFC 329 — McGregor vs. Holloway 2
UFC 329 — McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

◆ Main Event · LW Unification · 5R

Conor McGregor

22-6-0 · Former Two-Division Champion

VS

Max Holloway

26-7-0 · #1 Ranked Lightweight Contender

AI Fight Prediction · Stats Comparison · Full Fight Card

2026 AI Algorithm Prediction

CONOR Win Probability MAX
42%
58%

Winner

Holloway

Method

Unanimous Decision

Round

Full 5R

Redemption or Ruin in Vegas

Holloway's relentless volume and granite chin will weather McGregor's early storm to drown him in deep waters.

McGregor needs to land the big left hand early before his gas tank empties, while Holloway will look to chop the legs and maintain a high output pace. If this fight goes past the third round, Holloway's superior cardio and fight IQ will take over completely.

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Round-by-round breakdown · Tactical commentary · Key factors

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Why This Fight Matters

The Left Hand of God

Conor possesses that rare, fight-ending power in his left hand that can shut the lights out instantly. If he connects clean early, the narrative shifts immediately.

Unbreakable Engine

Max Holloway is a cardio machine who gets stronger as the fight goes deep. His ability to push a frantic pace for twenty-five minutes is a nightmare for anyone with gas tank concerns.

Speed vs. Volume

We are seeing a clash of elite timing, where McGregor looks for the counter while Holloway builds combinations. The fighter who dictates the rhythm will likely have their hand raised.

Legacy on the Line

This is a massive rematch years in the making, with both men looking to cement their Hall of Fame status. The tension in Las Vegas will be absolutely electric.

Combat Stats Comparison

CONOR Stat MAX
+8 ▲97
Punch Power
89
98
Punch Speed
97
+3 ▲93
Kick Power
90
94
Striking Defense
95
81
Grappling
+7 ▲88
92
Chin
Durability
+5 ▲97
89
Stamina
+9 ▲98
92
Fight IQ
+4 ▲96

Career Records

Conor McGregor

Record22-6-0
StatusFormer Two-Division Champion
Age38
Height5'9"
Reach74"
NationalityIreland

A precision-based southpaw striker with devastating knockout power and karate-style movement.

Max Holloway

Record26-7-0
Status#1 Ranked Lightweight Contender
Age34
Height5'11"
Reach69"
NationalityUSA

A high-volume pressure fighter with elite boxing, ironclad durability, and a championship gas tank.

How Each Fighter Wins

Conor's Path to Victory

  • • Land the check left hook early to test Holloway's durability.
  • • Use calf kicks to disrupt Max's forward pressure.
  • • Maintain strict discipline to avoid the grappling exchanges.
  • • Look for the counter-shot whenever Max steps in with combinations.

Max's Path to Victory

  • • Survive the early power shots and increase volume as rounds progress.
  • • Target the body early to drain McGregor's stamina reserves.
  • • Utilize the jab and reach advantage to keep Conor at range.
  • • Turn it into a dogfight in the championship rounds to secure the decision.

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UFC 329 — McGregor vs. Holloway 2 — Full Fight Card

Fighter Profiles

FAQ

Who wins Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway?

Max Holloway wins this fight. His evolution into a lightweight killer with elite boxing defense allows him to weather the early storm and outwork a fading McGregor over five rounds.

When and where is UFC 329 — McGregor vs. Holloway 2?

UFC 329 takes place at the legendary T-Mobile Arena, featuring a highly anticipated lightweight rematch between two of the sport's biggest stars. The atmosphere promises to be chaotic for this international superfight.

What is Conor McGregor's record going into UFC 329?

Conor McGregor enters with a professional record of 22-6, looking to add another big name to his highlight reel following a long layoff.

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